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Why college enrollment keeps declining every year

Ehsan Zaffar's avatar
Ehsan Zaffar
Jan 26, 2023
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Over the past two decades small colleges have started blinking off the map, with more closures coming. Their fall is going to change society forever. Here’s how:

U.S. College enrollment hit its peak in 2009

It has been declining ever since.

Why?

College is too expensive.
I went to undergrad ~14 years ago at a public university in California. I paid $6000 in tuition for the year. Students at that same university now pay $14,000 a year, more than double the price.

“But inflation!” I hear you say (no, not “butt inflation”🙄).

Even accounting for inflation, the cost of college has nearly tripled since the 1960s - not just tuition, but room and board as well. Meanwhile wages have not kept up since 1978 (see this piece I wrote, in part, on wages recently).

What about online learning? Isn’t that cheaper? Yes, but only marginally so. Many of my students weren’t too happy during the pandemic because a number of colleges charge almost as much for online courses as they do for in-person ones. Additio…

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